Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.003337 0.003499 0.003665 0.003847 0.004042 0.004245 0.004471
2025-06-22 0.003015 0.003253 0.003505 0.003794 0.004116 0.004466 0.004875
2025-06-29 0.002841 0.003124 0.003433 0.003796 0.004214 0.004681 0.005249
2025-07-06 0.002637 0.002940 0.003278 0.003683 0.004161 0.004709 0.005392
2025-07-13 0.002533 0.002861 0.003232 0.003687 0.004233 0.004875 0.005696
2025-07-20 0.002473 0.002826 0.003232 0.003739 0.004360 0.005106 0.006084
2025-07-27 0.002376 0.002741 0.003166 0.003705 0.004377 0.005200 0.006302
2025-08-03 0.002293 0.002669 0.003112 0.003681 0.004403 0.005301 0.006528
2025-08-10 0.002217 0.002601 0.003059 0.003654 0.004419 0.005388 0.006738
2025-08-17 0.002188 0.002589 0.003073 0.003711 0.004544 0.005617 0.007144
2025-08-24 0.002130 0.002538 0.003035 0.003698 0.004575 0.005724 0.007388
2025-08-31 0.002069 0.002481 0.002988 0.003671 0.004586 0.005800 0.007590
2025-09-07 0.001998 0.002409 0.002920 0.003614 0.004555 0.005820 0.007713
2025-09-14 0.001933 0.002345 0.002859 0.003565 0.004532 0.005850 0.007854
2025-09-21 0.001895 0.002312 0.002838 0.003567 0.004579 0.005976 0.008139
2025-09-28 0.001815 0.002223 0.002741 0.003464 0.004474 0.005884 0.008090
2025-10-05 0.001782 0.002195 0.002723 0.003467 0.004518 0.006004 0.008371
2025-10-12 0.001769 0.002192 0.002738 0.003514 0.004627 0.006223 0.008813
2025-10-19 0.001726 0.002148 0.002697 0.003484 0.004621 0.006271 0.008987
2025-10-26 0.001689 0.002111 0.002664 0.003462 0.004626 0.006335 0.009190
2025-11-02 0.001652 0.002074 0.002629 0.003437 0.004626 0.006390 0.009378
2025-11-09 0.001645 0.002076 0.002648 0.003489 0.004741 0.006626 0.009880
2025-11-16 0.001616 0.002047 0.002624 0.003477 0.004759 0.006711 0.010132